Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000089 0.000098 0.000108 0.000120 0.000133 0.000147 0.000163
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000140 0.000164 0.000194
2026-01-18 0.000064 0.000079 0.000096 0.000119 0.000147 0.000180 0.000224
2026-01-25 0.000056 0.000072 0.000092 0.000118 0.000152 0.000196 0.000255
2026-02-01 0.000050 0.000067 0.000088 0.000118 0.000158 0.000212 0.000288
2026-02-08 0.000044 0.000061 0.000084 0.000116 0.000162 0.000224 0.000317
2026-02-15 0.000040 0.000057 0.000080 0.000115 0.000166 0.000238 0.000349
2026-02-22 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078 0.000115 0.000172 0.000254 0.000384
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000050 0.000075 0.000114 0.000175 0.000266 0.000416
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000048 0.000074 0.000115 0.000181 0.000283 0.000457
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000046 0.000072 0.000115 0.000186 0.000299 0.000495
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000044 0.000070 0.000114 0.000189 0.000311 0.000530
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000042 0.000069 0.000116 0.000197 0.000332 0.000582
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000116 0.000202 0.000350 0.000630
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000039 0.000066 0.000116 0.000206 0.000366 0.000675
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000115 0.000210 0.000381 0.000722
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000214 0.000398 0.000774
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000034 0.000061 0.000114 0.000216 0.000410 0.000816
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000219 0.000425 0.000865
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000224 0.000443 0.000923
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000030 0.000056 0.000112 0.000226 0.000456 0.000971
2026-05-31 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000113 0.000232 0.000478 0.001042
2026-06-07 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000113 0.000237 0.000497 0.001107